S Curve Analysis (SCA)

S Curve Add-On

S Curve Analysis (SCA) provides project risk measures (e.g. Breakeven Probability) and economic metrics based on total project probability:

* S Curve Analysis uses the theory of Swanson’s Rule and Probability Density Function Discretization.

* SCA has become the foundation of risk analysis and modern Petro-economics decision analysis and has been accepted by the international energy companies as a standard in project evaluation.

* It combines economic indicators (NPV, EV, Cash Flow, Reserves) and calculates probabilities based on a large number of scenarios and data.

* The Breakeven Probability (Failure Rate or Chance of Loss) can be calculated and illustrated using an S Curve.

* SCA can reasonably derive P10/P50/P90 scenarios, and provide guidance in order to avoid unrealistic high and low development scenarios outcomes.

* Decision analysis can be achieved by analyzing and comparing those factors that influence S Curve shape.

S Curve Analysis Product (SCA)

Thales Energy S Curve Analysis product is the only commercial product on the market that provides a powerful calculation engine, interactive S Curve visualization, key risk measures, economic metrics, P10/P50/P90 scenarios based on all project risks, S curve comparisons and customized reports.

S Curve Workflow

Thales Energy S Curve Analysis product allows user to maintain their own Excel based economic models. Utilizing input control and data integration sheets, the system can generate all control parameter combinations that are exported to the Thales S Curve calculation engine to generate evaluation and analysis.

S Curve Analysis Add-on in Excel

The S Curve Analysis Add-on for Excel enables users to work in their familiar Excel environment, and utilize SCA functionality with an Economic Evaluation engine running in the background.

S Curve Control Panel

Users maintain their original Excel-based economic models. Utilizing input control and data integration sheets, the Thales Add-on generates data combinations to be used in the S Curve calculation engine.

S Curve Report

After S curve calculations are executed in the Thales Add-on, reports are displayed in the users Excel model dashboard.

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